# Section4.4Approximate Solutions: Least Squares¶ permalink

# SubsectionThe Assignment

- Read section 4.3 of Strang.
- Read the discussion below.
- Complete exercises 1-11 from section 4.3 in Strang.
- Prepare the items in the exercises for presentation.

# SubsectionDiscussion: Least Squares Approximation

(It is probably best to read this after you read the section in Strang.)

# SubsubsectionSome Perspective

Scientific problems often come down to something as simple as this: make a bunch of observations, and then try to fit those observations with some sort of model for greater understanding.

But data found in scientific problems is often noisy, or infected with
error in some way. This leads researchers to gather *more* data
so that chance variations and small errors might get smoothed out. How
might we fit a curve to a lot of data? Lots of data points means that we
likely have too many points to have a curve of our specified model type
actually hit all of those points.

For example, fitting a line to five points is already problematic: any two points gives us a line, and there is no reason to believe that the other three points will all sit on that line.

If we set the problem up as a system of equations, things go like this: We have a bunch of data set up as input-output pairs \(\{ (a_i, y_i) \}\); we are looking for a function \(f\) which has a specified type (linear, quadratic, exponential, etc.) that passes through those points.

- Each data point leads us to an equation \(f(a_i) = y_i\).
- The modelling function $f$ has some parameters in it, and we want to find the best value of those parameters so that the curve “fits” the data well. These parameters are the unknowns in our equations.

This is generally a challenging problem. The method of least squares is a technique for solving it when the resulting equations make a linear system.

# SubsubsectionSome History

Gauss discovered the technique described in this section in the late 1790's. In 1801 he used it to help astronomers calculate the orbit of the newly discovered asteroid Ceres, and thus find it after it re-emerged from behind the sun.

See how the pattern fits? Several weeks worth of data about the position of Ceres was known, but it surely had measurement errors in it. Since the time of Kepler (Newton), we have known that the motion of the asteroid must be an ellipse. This is a simple equation with only a few parameters (the coefficients of the equation defining the ellipse). So, the question confronting Gauss was this: find the ellipse which best fits the data.

But plugging all the data into the correct model shape (a conic!) leads to a rather large system of linear equations where the unknowns are the coefficients we seek.

# SubsubsectionSo, what is really happening here?

In the end, we get a system of the form \(Ax = y\). Here \(A\) is an \(m\times n\) matrix and \(ym\) is an \(n\)-vector, where \(m\) is the number of equations and \(n\) is the number of parameters we must find. Typically, \(m\) is much larger than \(n\), so the matrix \(A\) is tall and skinny.

So the system likely has no solution. Instead, we will find the orthogonal projection \(\hat{y}\) of \(y\) onto the column space \(\mathrm{col}(A)\) of \(A\), and then solve \(Ax = \hat{y}\). That's the secret. Since we have already mastered projections, this is no big deal.

# SubsectionSage instructions

There are no new commands for dealing with matrices here, as we already
have all that we need. If you are interested, Sage does have a built-in
function called `find_fit`.

Just to check that, let's plot the data and the curve.

That is not so terrible. Keep in mind that, from a linear algebra perspective, we just found the projection of \(y = (2,3,1,1,.5) \in \mathbb{R}^5\) on the column space of the matrix \begin{equation*} A = \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 1 \\ -1 & 1\\ 4 & 1 \\ 2 & 1 \\ 1 & 1 \end{pmatrix}, \end{equation*} which is a \(2\)-dimensional plane in that \(5\)-dimensional space. If I could, I would draw that picture, but five dimensions in challenging.

# SubsectionExercises

The best thing you can do to understand this is work some examples. Do Strang 1 - 11 from section 4.3. We will present these: